If we want to find guaranteed profitable sports bets then soccer is an excellent sports to start with. Soccer matches are priced up by all the big bookmakers plus some nice guaranteed profitable bets can be found if you know where and when to look. Sports bookmakers never miss a trick when thinking up new ways to extract your cash from you and there are numerous inventive bets on offer.
Soccer can in several ways talk about timing. The sooner the purchase price appears the much more likely you will have a sure-bet or arbitrage opportunity (arb).
Bookmakers clearly do lots of research as soccer has turn into a big earner on their behalf. They should accomplish this since they are only too conscious that the serious punters have grown to be much shrewder in this market and definately will exploit any snippets of news that could allow them to have a good edge. They advertise heavily in the tabloids.
Whereas in a few minor sports there may be just one single odds compiler doing work for the bookmaker soccer is too lucrative for this particular any many odds compilers will work feverishly setting prices for that big bookmakers. Any European bookmaker worth its salt will provide odds on soccer, its a very high revenue turnover sport.
Such could be the turnover on the escalating IBO88 that Ladbrokes as well as other such big bookmakers are able to require a ‘big’ bet on the results of a match. This is clearly great news for your arb maker. Because of this the utmost bets they will accept on the bet are much higher.
There are lots of kinds of soccer bets. Firstly there is a match winner. This is split into 3 results, win, lose or draw. And then there are the very first goal scorer and the precise match score. The less obvious bets are half-time, full-time results, total corners, total throw-ins, total quantities of yellow and red cards and so on. In fact anything where odds can be set to will offer a betting opportunity.
So which are the best soccer bets to look for? Firstly forget about predicting the match score, there are a lot of outcomes. The initial goal scorer is a complete waste of time too. Both these types of bets are heavily advertised however are for mug punters only, the odds consistently available are poor, the bookmakers regularly taking over 15% profit on the book. These bets have quite a few possible outcomes. We are trying to find bets with ideally 2 or 3 possible outcomes.
How you can play the soccer market is to open accounts with European bookmakers because the difference in opinion between UK and European bookmakers is an excellent source of sure bets. Both have strong opinions about this sport. They will price the sport in their own country and also the matches in foreign countries. Anything to make a profit.
Italy, for instance is even more soccer crazy compared to UK, with newspapers dedicated to the game. Everyone thinks they know best on this subject and egos get when it comes to sensible pricing. This can be great news for us. The European bookmakers can be opinionated and where because they may well have greater detailed understanding of the comings and goings in their own countries these are counting on third parties to collate information about their foreign counterparts.
One good starting point is in midweek games between groups of different nationalities. There is a tendency in punters to get patriotic with regards to events where opposition are ‘foreign’. The chances of the house team get talked up as well as the odds could get skewed inside their favour since the weight of cash is overly wagered within their direction.
Having said that the big bookmakers provide an early price, they are going to often advertise it in the national papers and in general stick to it. This means that a bench mark has become set and subsequent bookmakers may take a different opinion or attempt to tempt cash in their direction by providing different odds. If the were to happen the arb may be available for a great deal of time.
There are always discrepancies in odds but clearly bookmakers tend to stick round the same price. They figure there is safety in numbers. But remember they may be ‘guessing’ exactly what the odds needs to be just like you together with me. These are basing their opinion on past experience and they also might utilise statistical formulae nevertheless they still need to form an opinion on the likely outcome.
They can get it wrong along with other firms can have a completely different look at the end result of a game. An entirely different view will simply result in a slight variation in the odds but this can be sufficient to provide a sure bet profit.
Another approach is to begin with the greater obscure games in eg. the Spanish, Italian or Norweigen lower divisions. They can have quite lucrative discrepancies. They will be included in a variety of bookmakers around Europe. This may however add a complication. Although really simple for finding arbs, the mere simple fact that you pay attention to these obscure matches will throw the possibility that you will get spotted through the bookmakers in the event you concentrate your action here.
Also they are going to be unwilling to accept high maximum bets on matches where they have got done little research. On the other hand it is a training ground for arb spotting and may gain you valuable experience. You have to weigh up the pros and cons with this strategy.
It is a fairly obscure section of betting and if someone ended up being to check your account over several months and found solely these obscure foreign matches on your own account it could ring alarm bells. The motto is to dilute the bets by betting on as numerous different kind of sport and events as you can which means that your accounts have varied bets to them. This shouldn’t be considered a problem as numerous different sports are perfect for sure bets.
The more prominent European ties may also produce arbs plus they are more unlikely to bring in focus on you and also the utmost bets will be higher.
As before you are unable to control whether the individual bets win or lose but soccer is really a 3 way result and thus 2 losing bets to one winning one can come in handy on your account. The point here is that not lots of people are considering the lower European divisions plus it may become clear the betting pattern is a bit unusual. This is also true if your bets for the maximum permitted.
Injury news can be a lucrative area in soccer. Think it over. If a player fails a late fitness test over a Saturday and that he is the teams star striker then this will greatly affect their chances. Recently Alan Shearer turned as much as play a premiership game for Newcastle but was declared unfit to play at the last minute. Newcastle were soundly beaten. I am not saying this wouldn’t have happened, I don’t know. However the odds on the game clearly changed the moment this news broke.
Some bookmakers were alert to this and altered prices as the money poured in for the opposition. Some were slow to react or will not have reacted whatsoever. Either way arbs were available. This type of last minute frantic activity is especially keen on the betting exchanges like Betfair that you can work as the punter or even the bookmaker (lay bets).
You can find injury news through one of the numerous soccer web sites. Alternatively satellite television stations usually have comprehensive news coverage of all games and are quick to offer any ‘off the press’ news. Slowly the bookmakers’ prices will all change, but not all at the same time, only one at a time so creating sure bets.
In this scenario where prices are changing bet on the old price first. The brand new cost is the one which wont change the previous cost is the one which is about to and so may be lost in case you are not quick.
To re-emphasise, arb hunting can be about timing. When the odds are first produced or have reason to change then your arbs are much more likely to look.
Recently the English referees have grown to be more lenient within the issuing of yellow cards. This had an effect on the prices for your total variety of bookings in a game. A number of the bookmakers adjusted their prices accordingly yet others failed to. This may change the bet ranges requested total bookings.
Let’s look at the red and yellow card market. If you didn’t know the yellow and red cards bet is calculated as 10 points for any yellow card and 25 points for any red. A player can get yourself a maximum of 35 points in a match (10 25).
The betting is normally divided into 3 ranges. Under 11 points at say odds of 100/30, 11 to 30 points, at 6/4 and over 30 points, the most likely outcome, at about 11/10. This doesn’t vary much unless there xmjyld a history of animosity involving the teams where case the odds are adjusted accordingly.
Usually this kind of bet will not figure strongly within your plans. Plus it is unusual to discover information being issued that can impact the total bookings bet. But a simple piece of news like the plan for issuing cards has just changed can affect prices and lead to several arb. The conclusion is not really can be expected too much sure betting activity through the issuing of red and yellow cards but it simple enough to check the percentages.